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North America is long gas. The seaborne market is not. EIA has Henry Hub under $3 into November. TTF and JKM sit near $21. Alberta is cheaper than Houston. Here is why all of that can be true at once.
The August STEO cut Q3 Henry Hub to $2.87 and the year to $3.44. Working gas is headed for 3,985 Bcf by the end of October, the biggest pre-winter pile since 2016. The surplus survived the heat.
A southern heat dome pushed Texas and Southeast power-sector gas demand up 5.4 percent week over week. National power burn still fell. September gas spent most of August under $3. Record production is still running the tape.
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