Friday, September 11, 2026
HH: $2.77 AECO: C$1.48/GJ

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NOAA puts 69% odds on a historic El Nino. That is a problem for winter gas EIA sees record 3,985 Bcf in U.S. storage heading into winter LNG Canada approaching full use a year after first cargo AECO still cheap near C$1.46/GJ as the basin outruns Kitimat takeaway NOAA puts 69% odds on a historic El Nino. That is a problem for winter gas EIA sees record 3,985 Bcf in U.S. storage heading into winter LNG Canada approaching full use a year after first cargo AECO still cheap near C$1.46/GJ as the basin outruns Kitimat takeaway

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From the desk

What moved on Canadian listed names

Every morning we file a half-dozen notes on what actually happened — a deal close, a dividend date, a guidance tweak. Written here, not copied off a wire. 150 pieces if you need to catch up.

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Pipelines

Interprovincial Pipes Now Go to the CER Alone. The Dual Review Is Off the List

The September 9 Physical Activities Regulations amendments send interprovincial and international pipelines, plus designated power lines, to a Canada Energy Regulator assessment instead of an integrated Impact Assessment Act panel.

LNG

Cedar's Certificate Now Allows 3.75 Million Tonnes. Kitimat's Second Plant Is Still a 2028 Story

On July 10 the B.C. Environmental Assessment Office amended Cedar LNG's certificate to 500 MMcf per day of liquefaction, about 3.75 million tonnes a year, up from 3.0. Pembina and the Haisla Nation still target in-service in late 2028.

International

Hodgson and Shmyhal Signed in Calgary. Cameco's Ukraine Book Runs Through 2035

On September 10 Energy Minister Tim Hodgson and Ukraine's Denys Shmyhal signed a joint energy statement in Calgary. Canada added $10 million to the Energy Support Fund, up to $757 million of EBRD gas-purchase guarantees, and restated the Energoatom-Cameco uranium deal through 2035.

Power

Fossil Plants Left the Federal Project List. Alberta's Data-Centre Load Still Needs New Gas

The September 9 Project List amendments remove fossil fuel-fired generating facilities from Impact Assessment Act designation. Capital Power's 250 MW Meta contract in Sturgeon County is still aimed at the back half of 2028, and Alberta has kept large AI loads off the shared grid until then.

Markets

The Tape Tomorrow Is Line 5. Everything Else Is Waiting on That Weld

Enbridge's September 12 restart target is the next print that matters. Keyera has $30 million of 2026 Marketing margin riding on it. WTI is still in the mid-$80s and AECO is still cheap while Kitimat runs.

Natural Gas

Advantage Closed the Wembley Sale for $316 Million. Buybacks Are Back On

On September 11 Advantage completed the sale of its Wembley area assets for $316 million in gross cash proceeds, ahead of the August 26 timeline. Proceeds went to reduce bank debt. The company said it has resumed significant share repurchases.

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Trends

Macro read-through from the archive

When the book moves, we rebuild the sector view — gas, oil, pipes, power — from everything we have filed. Memory members get the full dashboard and notebook.

North America is still long gas. Henry Hub is under $3 and AECO is near C$1.48/GJ. Europe and Asia are paying about $21. LNG Canada is running; Freeport is not. The desk is watching storage, Kitimat utilization, and the El Nino winter call. Latest: Ottawa Took In Situ Oil Sand...

Last analysis: Sep 11, 2026 4:08 PM UTC · September 2026

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From this morning's run
HH near $2.77/MMBtu. AECO near C$1.48/GJ.
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Oil latest

Oil

Canadian Natural's Dividend Record Date Is Tomorrow. Q2 Cash Flow Already Filed

CNQ declared on August 5 a quarterly dividend of $0.625 per share payable October 2 to shareholders of record September 11. Second-quarter production averaged a record 1,677,000 boe per day with $6.9 billion of adjusted funds flow.

Sep 10, 2026 3 min read
Oil

Peter Zebedee's CFO Appointment Is Four Days Away. Suncor's Succession Clock Starts Sunday

Suncor said August 6 that Peter Zebedee will become President and Chief Financial Officer on September 14 with oversight of all non-operating functions. He is slated to become President and CEO in April 2027 when Rich Kruger moves to Executive Vice Chair.

Sep 10, 2026 3 min read
Oil

Tamarack and Headwater Agreed a $10 Billion Clearwater Merger. Tributary Spins Out the Exploration Book

On September 8 Tamarack Valley and Headwater announced an all-stock combination valued at $10 billion. Headwater shareholders get one Tamarack share each. Run-rate Clearwater production exceeds 80,000 boe per day. Non-core assets move into a new Tributary Exploration vehicle.

Sep 9, 2026 3 min read
Oil

Canadian Natural's Dividend Record Date Is Thursday. Q2 Cash Flow Already Printed

CNQ declared on August 5 a quarterly dividend of $0.625 per share payable October 2 to shareholders of record September 11. Second-quarter production averaged a record 1,677,000 boe per day with $6.9 billion of adjusted funds flow.

Sep 9, 2026 3 min read
Oil

Peter Zebedee's CFO Appointment Is Five Days Away. Suncor's Succession Plan Hits the Org Chart Sunday

Suncor said August 6 that Peter Zebedee will become President and Chief Financial Officer on September 14 with oversight of all non-operating functions. He is slated to become President and CEO in April 2027 when Rich Kruger moves to Executive Vice Chair.

Sep 9, 2026 3 min read
Oil

Enbridge's Houston Oil Terminal Is Live With 2.5 Million Barrels of Shell Capacity

Enbridge brought the Houston Oil Terminal into service in July 2026. EHOT has three lateral pipelines and four above-ground tanks with 2.5 million barrels of initial shell capacity, linking Alberta heavy crude to Gulf Coast refineries and export docks.

Sep 8, 2026 3 min read
Oil

Peter Zebedee Takes the CFO Chair in Six Days. Suncor's CEO Transition Clock Starts Sunday

On August 6 Suncor said Peter Zebedee will become President and Chief Financial Officer on September 14, 2026, with oversight of all non-operating functions. He is slated to become President and CEO in April 2027 when Rich Kruger moves to Executive Vice Chair.

Sep 8, 2026 3 min read
Oil

Whitecap Lifted 2026 Production to 384,000-386,000 Boe a Day. Q2 Funds Flow Hit $1.4 Billion

On July 29 Whitecap reported record Q2 2026 funds flow of $1.4 billion, or $1.11 per share, and raised annual production guidance to 384,000 to 386,000 boe per day. Operating costs fell about 13 percent since the Veren deal closed.

Sep 7, 2026 3 min read
Oil

Canadian Natural's Dividend Record Date Is Thursday. The Quarter Already Printed Record Cash

CNQ declared on August 5 a quarterly dividend of $0.625 per share payable October 2 to shareholders of record September 11. Q2 production averaged a record 1,677,000 boe per day with $6.9 billion of adjusted funds flow.

Sep 7, 2026 3 min read
Oil

Paramount Set the September Dividend at Five Cents. Record Date Is September 15

On September 1 Paramount declared a cash dividend of $0.05 per common share, payable September 29 to shareholders of record September 15. The amount matches Paramount's monthly dividend cadence.

Sep 6, 2026 3 min read
Oil

Surge's September Cheque Pays Monday. The Board Already Lifted Exit Guidance to 24,000 Boe a Day

Surge confirmed August 17 that a $0.043333 dividend for August production pays September 15 to record holders August 31. July 29 Q2 paper kept 2026 exit guidance at 24,000 boepd and capital at $175 million with heavier waterflood spend.

Sep 6, 2026 3 min read
Oil

Baytex Lifted 2026 Guidance to 71,000 Boe a Day Without Adding Capex. Duvernay Led the Beat

On July 30 Baytex reported Q2 production of 71,243 boe per day and raised full-year guidance to about 71,000 boe per day. Capital stayed at about $625 million. Gilby Duvernay and Peavine heavy oil drove the increase.

Sep 6, 2026 3 min read
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